Flat Six Figures

Listings since January 2024. Sales (dots) and reserves not met (triangles) plotted as a percent of MSRP with buyer’s fee, and adjusted to the current 2-year average odometer using the curve below. Average values are calculated at the end of their 2-year trendline every 3 months, shown as the dotted black line. Within each trendline, sales from the last 90 days count triple, the rest of the first year double, and the second year single. Pacing indicates change over the last 90 days relative to the most current trendline. Peaking is defined as an appreciating slope pacing down, and flattening is defined as a depreciating slope pacing up.

Listings from the last 2 years, plotted as a percent of MSRP with buyer’s fee. The dotted black line is a single exponential trendline through those listings — it does not represent current values, but rather the recent effect of mileage on value. The bold line is that same trendline lifted so the 2-year average odometer matches the current average value from the chart above, giving an estimate of today’s value at any mileage. Cost per mile is measured at the 2-year average odometer, at today’s values. When the trend rises with mileage, the effect is treated as negligible and only the average is shown.